Tarzan makes a return to the big screen this weekend in a sizeable gamble for Warner Bros. and Village Roadshow Pictures. According to one major tracking service, The Legend of Tarzan may not top $30 million over the long Fourth of July holiday. However, more bullish box-office analysts believe it will instead open to $30 million-$35 million domestically and edge out Steven Spielberg’s family entry The BFG, which is aiming for $30 million.
Either way, neither film is expected to set off major fireworks when considering how much they cost. Instead, the Fourth of July weekend financial winner among the new offerings looks to be the modestly budgeted horror pic The Purge: Election Year with a debut in the $24 million-$25 million range.
And the holiday crown could easily go to holdover Finding Dory. On Tuesday, Pixar and Disney’s animated sequel crossed $300 million domestically in record time for an animated film (12 days) for a total $311.2 million. (It took 18 days for previous champs Shrek 2 and Toy Story 3 to reach the mark.)
Tarzan, rolling out in 3,561 theaters domestically, including Imax and other premium large-format screens, cost $180 million to make before marketing. David Yates directed the action-adventure film, which stars Alexander Skarsgard in the title role opposite Margot Robbie, Samuel L. Jackson, Dimon Hounsou, Jim Broadbent and Christoph Waltz.
Sequel The Purge: Anarchy debuted to $29.8 million in late July 2014, while The Purge opened to an impressive $35.1 million in June 2013.